全球化(globalization)一词,是一种概念,也是一种人类社会发展的现象过程。全球化目前有诸多定义,通常意义上的全球化是指全球联系不断增强,人类生活在全球规模的基础上发展及全球意识的崛起。国与国之间在政治、经济贸易上互相依存。全球化亦可以解释为世界的压缩和视全球为一个整体。二十世纪九十年代后,随着全球化势力对人类社会影响层面的扩张,已逐渐引起各国政治、教育、社会及文化等学科领域的重视,引发大规模的研究热潮。对于“全球化”的观感是好是坏,目前仍是见仁见智,例如全球化对于本土文化来说就是一把双刃剑,它也会使得本土文化的内涵与自我更新能力逐渐模糊与丧失。
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He Weiwen: China’s tariff cuts contrast with U.S.’s tariff hikes
By He Weiwen, a senior research fellow at the Center for China and Globalization(CCG). Amid ongoing trade war with the U.S., China is cutting import tariffs on nearly 1,600 items starting November 1. They account for 19 percent of the total number of Chinese taxed products, cutting down the average tax rate from 10.5 percent to 7.8 percent. The move comes after the Chinese government offered zero tariffs on an array of imported medicines starting May 1 and tariff cuts on consumer goods, vehicles and auto parts starting July 1. After the latest round of tax adjustment, China’s overall tariff rate will stay at 7.5 percent, down from 9.8 percent last year and lower than that of most developing countries. The trade-weighted average tariff rate will be 3.7 percent, marginally higher than Japan (2.1 percent), the U.S. (2.4 percent) and the EU (3.0 percent), but slightly lower than Australia (4.0 percent). In the midst of China’s tax-cutting efforts, the China International Import Expo (CIIE), the world’s first import-themed national-level expo, will be held in Shanghai from November 5 to 10. It will be another major move by China to further open up its market to the world. Is China yielding to the pressure from Donald Trump’s trade war? Absolutely not. China’s tariff cuts and the CIIE were planned before Trump’s unilateral tariffs on Chinese products. The U.S., given China’s retaliatory duties on 110 billion U.S. dollars of American goods, will be standing at an unfavorable position in exporting to China. There are three major reasons for China’s tariff cuts and the CIIE. First, the Chinese economy and people need them. The three rounds of tariff cuts mainly cover pharmaceuticals for people’s health, vehicles and auto parts for people’s auto consumption and the need to upgrade domestic auto-makers, consumer goods for people’s daily necessities, and machinery for China’s high-end manufacturing. Lower tariffs mean lower costs for both producers and consumers. They also mean intensified competition, propelling domestic manufacturers to advance their core competitiveness. Second, the world free trade system needs them. The Trump administration is challenging the WTO-represented multilateral free trade mechanism and its unilateral acts are casting a cloud over the prospects of free trade. China’s latest endeavors are in support of the world free trade mechanism and WTO’s core principles: non-discrimination and free flow of goods among nations. Third, the world economy needs them. While the world’s GDP growth rate is expected to be 0.2 percent lower than the previous estimate due to Trump’s trade war, China’s massive tariff cuts and the CIIE will provide tremendous market opportunities and thus serve as a fresh impetus to global economic growth. Every 10 percent of Chinese imports in goods and services will mean an additional 250 billion U.S. dollars in sales in the world market. Apart from the CIIE and tax-cutting endeavors, China is doing more to uphold globalization and the world multilateral trade mechanism with the WTO at the core. The country is earnestly working with the EU, Japan, Canada, ASEAN and many other WTO members on WTO reforms to keep abreast with the changing technology and trading environment while adhering to WTO’s core principles of non-discrimination and free flow of goods. In the meantime, China is unfolding full-fledged infrastructure, trade, investment and financial cooperation with vast numbers of countries along the Belt and Road initiative for an all-inclusive and win-win future, namely, a community of shared destiny for mankind. Moreover, China is pushing forward talks on various regional trade agreements and free trade agreements (FTA), including China-Japan-South Korea tripartite FTA, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, FTA with Canada and so forth. It is our firm belief that globalization and free trade will continue to prevail over unilateralism. Counter-globalization is only a temporary current. History has proved repeatedly that no trade policies can alter the economic law of globalization. China, as a responsible member of the international community, will continue to do its best in the right direction. From ECNS,2018-10-31
2018年11月1日 -
如何看待未来出口走势?
9.9%——前三季度,我国货物贸易进出口交出一份平稳运行、稳中有进的答卷。只是,细分来看,出口同比增长6.5%,进口增长14.1%。未来出口会怎样?
2018年11月1日 -
Harvey Dzodin:Trump, sticks, stones and deadly words
Members and supporters of the Jewish community come together for a candlelight vigil, in remembrance of those who died earlier in the day during a shooting at the Tree of Life Synagogue in the Squirrel Hill neighborhood of Pittsburgh, in front of the White House in Washington, DC, on October 27, 2018. /VCG Photo By Harvey Dzodin,a senior research fellow at the Center for China and Globalization(CCG). When we were growing up, we were taught the old adage that "sticks and stones may break my bones but words will never harm me." As we got older and more worldly, most of us learned that this saying is false wisdom reserved for those oblivious souls living in a fool’s paradise. Apparently, Donald Trump never figured out that words can have deadly consequences but the ghoulish events of October 2018 should be a wake-up call to the rest of us. First came the butchering of Saudi Arabian journalist Jamal Khashoggi on October 2 by Saudi government agents. His crime: critical words apparently not appreciated by his government. Then in rapid succession in the last week came a spate of pipe bombs posted by a Trump supporter to 13 Democratic and liberal leaders on Trump’s enemies list. Their crime: words and thoughts incompatible with the warped selfish America First, world last agenda of Trump and his acolytes, followed closely by this weekend’s deadly shooting in a formerly idyllic peaceful Pittsburgh neighborhood by an anti-Semitic right-wing nut job armed with handguns and an assault rifle. A still image taken from a video shows Hatice Cengiz, fiancee of slain Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, during an interview with Turkish broadcaster Haberturk in Istanbul, Turkey, October 26, 2018. /VCG Photo The shooter detested Trump for having Jewish members in his family (Jared Kushner, Ivanka Trump and their children). He targeted a specific synagogue in the Squirrel Hill neighborhood for having helped immigrants to come to the United States and was reported to have said that "all Jews must die" immediately before opening fire. Those murdered and maimed bear testimony to the fact that words can be lethal. The synagogue murders seem to be a corollary of the well-established phenomenon of copy-cat violence, where one such act brings on others like it in quick succession. The synagogue shooter could have been upset that the pipe bombs failed to go off and kill or maim. This may have triggered in him a desire to metaphorically finish the job, especially when the Jewish billionaire George Soros, backer of liberal causes, was unhurt. Because my brother lived there, I know Squirrel Hill well. I can attest that it was a special place where people of different races, religions, and countries of origin lived side-by-side in as much harmony as could be expected by any diverse group of neighbors. Perhaps the shooter couldn’t accept that this melting pot symbolized what America is all about — or at least was all about before the Age of Trump. An FBI agent stands behind a police cordon and an ambulance outside the Tree of Life Synagogue (L) after a shooting there left 11 people dead in the Squirrel Hill neighborhood of Pittsburgh on October 27, 2018. /VCG Photo While I am quite certain that Khashoggi’s murder did not influence the bombs mailed and bullets fired this week, I am more certain that the capture of the bomber one day and the shootings the next are no macabre Halloween weekend coincidence. They are both attributable to Trump’s recent vastly ramped-up attempts to fire up his base with hatred, anger and fear in order to minimize or eliminate a Democratic Party victory in the House of Representatives. I hope that there will be no more word-inspired violence in the week until the election. If the worst happens, Trump will have even more blood on his hands. This is par for the course for the man for whom lying is a way of life and who has lied hundreds of times as president. Trump is an intellectually-challenged small-minded bully who won the support of the racist Ku Klux Klan, neo-Nazis and other alt-right groups for saying that there were good people on both sides of demonstrations in Charlottesville, Virginia, last year where a white power supporter drove into a crowd, killing one and injuring others. You’d think that Trump would take some responsibility, but he hasn’t done so here. In fact, he never does; he only takes credit. It’s always someone else who caused the problem. So for the shooting, even though the synagogue consulted with the FBI and Department of Homeland Security and followed their recommendations, the house of worship here, the victims, were in Trump’s mind negligent in not having armed guards posted at entrances? Is this what America has come to? People hold candles as they gather outside the Tree of Life Synagogue after a shooting there left 11 people dead in the Squirrel Hill neighborhood of Pittsburgh on October 27, 2018. /VCG Photo Trump has completely swallowed the National Rifle Association (NRA)’s simplistic and unworkable solution that the answer is to have good guys with guns protecting against bad guys with guns like the AR-15, whose sale and use the NRA has fought to promote. That’s a bizarre slant on freedom of religion, isn’t it? Is the Trump-NRA solution realistic? Hardly. In the US, there are roughly 400,000 Christian houses of worship, approximately 4,000 synagogues and Jewish Community Centers and 2,100 mosques. While there are exceptions, most houses of worship are not exactly rich. So let’s say that on average each needs two armed guardians. Good guys with guns, unlikely to be volunteers, don’t come cheap and we’re talking about more than 800,000 of them. I have a funny feeling that the NRA won’t have any funds left over after spending millions on lobbying for assault rifles and the like. I don’t expect that their arms manufacturer allies will pitch in either. Trump? He doesn’t like to spend money, except for the richest one percent. The tragedy is that the president of the United States is supposed to be a moral compass, not an immoral one. The tragedy is that the president is supposed to unite the nation, not to divide it. The tragedy is that the president is supposed to make people safe, yet he has created and nurtured the toxic tragedy we all mourn today. From CGTN,2018-10-28
2018年11月1日 -
刁大明:身份政治让美国走向“部落化”
刁大明、全球化智库(CCG)特邀研究员、 中国人民大学国际关系学院副教授
2018年10月31日 -
魏建国:安倍晋三首相访华,中日经贸关系发展将进入窗口机遇期
专家简介
2018年10月30日