自成立以来，CCG对国际关系和中国外交领域保持高度关注，深度追踪中国与美国、加拿大、欧洲、亚洲、非洲、拉美、澳洲、中东等国家与地区的双边经贸关系发展与变化，多年来致力于中美欧合作、一带一路、WTO改革、CPTPP等多边领域的研究，为政策制定建言献策。CCG在连续多年主办的年度品牌论坛设置中美关系、中欧合作等议题，积极开展国际交流活动，充分发挥智库“二轨外交”作用，常态化赴多国调研与交流，发布中美经贸系列中英文研究报告。常年主办系列圆桌研讨会，邀请来自美国、加拿大、英国、澳大利亚、日本、德国、埃及等多国智库专家学者、政要、商界精英、外交使节就国际关系与多边合作等议题进行研讨与交流。
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【China Daily】IMF warns of sharp decline for Japan’s economy
The International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday that Japan’s real gross domestic product could decline by over 25 percent in the next 40 years due to the aging population. The IMF said in its annual report that structural reform is essential to "navigate Japan’s demographic headwinds". "IMF staff simulations estimate that the level of real GDP will decline by over 25 percent in about 40 years due to demographics under current policies," the report said. "The rapid aging and shrinking of Japan’s population will dominate economic policymaking in coming decades," it added, noting that although Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s economic policies had brought some positive results in the past six years, strengthened policies are required to achieve sustained high growth and durable reflation. Among solutions to tackle the demographic issue, the IMF listed reducing wage gaps, encouraging women to join the workforce and allowing more foreign workers to help plug labor shortages. On Wednesday, the House of Councilors of Japan started the debate on a bill to accept more foreign blue-collar workers after the ruling Liberal Democratic Party pushed it through the lower house of parliament despite rising concerns from the opposition. It is reported that tens of thousands of workers from other countries will be drafted into industries with staff shortages like electronics, food production, construction and particularly nursing, if the bill is passed. Chu Yin, a senior research fellow at the Center for China and Globalization, said the IMF had overestimated Japan’s economic decline. "It (Japan’s GDP) will drop in the future because of a shrinking population, but it will not drop that much," Chu said. "For example, if Japan can expand its share in the Chinese market, it will significantly solve its problem of insufficient domestic consumption." Yoshikazu Kato, adjunct associate professor at Asia Global Institute of the University of Hong Kong, said the Japanese government had made great efforts to deal with the population decline, including having more women in the cabinet, but there are other things can be done. "Building more internationalized universities to attract talented young people from around the world can be an effective way as the demographic trend intensifies," Kato said. "In this way, students could have time to learn skills and Japanese at the same time to fit better into local society." The IMF expected the Japanese economy to register 1.1 percent growth this year but slow down to 0.9 percent in 2019 due to the planned consumption tax increase to 10 percent from the current 8 percent in October next year. From China Daily，2018-11-30
2018年12月10日 -
Zamir Ahmed Awan: IMF pressure won’t weaken Pakistan’s CPEC commitment
By Zamir Ahmed Awan, a senior fellow with Center for China and Globalization(CCG)
2018年11月30日 -
沈诗伟：开发巴新资源宝库须做足功课
作者 | 沈诗伟，全球化智库（CCG）特邀研究员
2018年11月29日 -
Zamir Ahmed Awan: China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Opportunities and challenges
A container is loaded on to the first Chinese container ship to depart after the inauguration of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor port in Gwadar, Pakistan, on Nov 13, 2016. [Photo/Agencies] By Zamir Ahmed Awan, a senior fellow with Center for China and Globalization(CCG) China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), is under execution smoothly for the last couple of years and most of the early harvest projects have been completed or are at an advanced stage of completion. The fruits of CPEC projects will be enjoyed by Pakistan in the form of sufficient amount of electricity available almost to everyone, an improved network of roads in almost all parts of Pakistan, the growth of GDP and the country’s economic progress as compared to pre-CPEC time. However, there are some challenges. I may categorize them in largely two groups; the internals and the externals. Just like any project, there might be some deficiencies in design, planning or execution; CPEC is also not absolutely free of such possible shortcomings. Pakistan does not have any experience of undertaking such mega projects. In the history of Pakistan the total foreign direct investment was only around $40 billion, while just under CPEC, it reached to more than $20 billion within only three years. Pakistan was not prepared for such a large investment and lacked the capacity to digest it. This was a major challenge for Pakistan. Although China-Pakistan friendship is higher than mountains and deeper than Oceans, there is a lack of understanding Chinese systems, politics, culture, traditions, work ethics. To understand CPEC, it is absolutely important to understand China. There is dire need to understand Chinese culture, traditions, politics, system government, and business practices. It can be achieved by increased people-to-people contact and public diplomacy. In the past, the China-Pakistan relations were focused in the diplomatic and political arena only. But under CPEC, the nature of this relation has turned into "business and economic". This change may not have been realized by the Pakistani decision-makers yet. Business relations are profit driven and everybody wants to make it as much profit as possible. I believe, China-Pakistan relations are just like one family, and all differences can be resolved within the family easily. There is no threat of any mishandling at all. I can see the roots of our friendship are so deep, that any minor issue may not be an irritant to move forward. We are all-weather, time-tested, all-dimensions friends and stood with each other at all difficult moments with each other. The future is bright and secure for both nations. However, there are some external challenges, which are rather serious and need more cooperation between China and Pakistan. BRI is China’s mega initiative and recognized by around 100 countries and the international organizations. But some of the countries which are not happy with Chinese leading the globalization trend worldwide feel it a threat and try to sabotage CPEC through India and Afghanistan. Pakistan is a smaller country and economically not strong enough and may not be able to protect CPEC alone. We need to join hands with China and formulate a joint policy to protect CPEC. Although China has always stood with Pakistan at all difficult times throughout the history of our relations of seven decades, at this moment, while CPEC is under challenge, we need to cooperate even closer and may take up a stronger and tougher stand. We need to make this "flagship" project a success story and to show the rest of world CPEC as a "role model". The success of CPEC will guarantee the success of all other five economic corridors planned under BRI. People of Pakistan and government of Pakistan are fully committed to making CPEC a success story, we are committed to overcoming any challenges, which might come across during its execution. We need support from our Chinese brothers and sisters to stand with us at this critical moment. We share a common destiny and work together in complete harmony. About Author Zamir Ahmed Awan is a senior fellow with Center for China and Globalization(CCG) and a sinologist at the National University of Sciences and Technology.
2018年11月28日 -
庞中英：朝鲜半岛走向“终战”能否开启新的和平，取决于是否构筑东北亚协和
庞中英，CCG特邀高级研究员，中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院院长
2018年11月9日
